The International Air Transport Association (IATA) warns that European countries are affected by the Ukrainian war, especially neighboring countries.
According to the authority, the impact on airline costs, more specifically frequent changes in energy prices or airlines that avoid Russian skies, could affect the 27-nation bloc. The situation is likely to affect consumer confidence in travel and economic activity, TheSchengen.com reports.
Such a statement is connected with the fact that Russia ranked 11th in terms of the largest market for air transport services in terms of passenger numbers and its large domestic market, while Ukraine took 48th place. With the sanctions imposed, the largest country in the world can expect deteriorating numbers in all industries, including Including travel and tourism.
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However, the authority expects a strong rebound in international travel activity, but warns that not all markets and regions will recover equally.
In general, we are moving in the right direction, but there are some concerns. The Asia Pacific region is slow to recover. While Australia and New Zealand have announced measures to reconnect with the world, China is showing no signs of easing its COVID-free strategy. Willie Walsh, Director General of the International Air Transport Association (IATA) said:
The authority also notes that the market within Europe is expected to benefit from passengers’ preferences for short-haul travel, which can help travelers’ confidence rebuild. European travelers in and out of the Union can expect coordinated and unrestricted movement within the Union.
Moreover, data from the International Air Transport Association (IATA) shows that the European travel sector will recover, having reached from 40 percent of its capacity in 2021 to 86 percent in 2022 and 96 percent in 2023. However, The industry will peak in 2024 and 2025 when it is expected to exceed pre-pandemic levels by 105 percent and 111 percent, respectively. The European travel sector is expected to revive the fastest of all markets.
On the other hand, the CEO of Airbus, Guillaume Faury, previously said that the war in Ukraine will not affect the travel activity of Europeans.
“I would say yes, it is very likely that the majority of travel in the world will recover as we expect by the end of the pandemic,” Faury said, also noting that travel in Eastern Europe could come under pressure in the coming months.
Most industry representatives agree, saying 2022 will be a big year for the recovery of the industry, which has incurred millions in losses due to travel bans and other restrictions imposed by governments.